Increasing research accessibility/reach with udpated models and analyses, text interactives and new analyses.
Estimating State-Level Swing with Shrinkage Beat the Polls in 2020. Here’s the Forecast for Election 2024.
Domain-level analysis in a new Science paper greatly overstates the influence of algorithmic feed ranking on segregation, aka the ‘Filter Bubble’
BlueSky is a half-decentralized social network designed to replace Twitter. Will it keep its luster as it scales up?
It’s too early to say for sure, here are the questions to ask
Don’t get too comfortable
Largest ever social science data set, released under differential privacy
How the Probabilistic Horse Race Demobilizes the Public
A book on how Members of Congress use Credit Claiming
A Response to FiveThirtyEight
Second post in my data visualization series on scatterplots and regression analysis
Replication of Study 2 in “Bias in the Flesh: Skin Complexion and Stereotype Consistency in Political Campaigns”